Estimation the Size of Food Gap of the Table Eggs in Iraq for 2004-2020

Author : Mohammed Hamid Ahmed Aljreisy

The aim of the research is to determine the food gap for table eggs in Iraq and predict it for the coming years in order to clarify the reality for the authorities concerned with setting the agricultural and economic policy of the state, and because this article (table eggs) is one of the most important daily consumer products for the Iraqi individual, so we decided to clarify the reality of this product and its adequacy locally To demand it, as the research dealt with the theoretical and quantitative method using the autoregressive model of distributed slowing down (ARDL) and then determining the period of slowing down and then the co-integration test. The results indicated that the appearance of the gap along the study period and even during the predicted period, where the average value of the gap during the study period was (-133.183) million eggs, indicating that the local production does not cover the required quantities of this substance. The most important conclusion reached by the researcher is the flooding of the Iraqi local market with foreign goods subsidized by the producing countries and their competition with local goods that are characterized by their high cost as a result of the high costs of their production, which led to the control of the foreign product over the local product and removed it from competition, so the researcher recommends imposing taxes on imported foreign materials Including table eggs, in order for their price to rise in the market, and this matter will help the local producer to enter into these productive projects and compete with imported foreign products and reduce the demand for them.

Keywords : Table eggs, Food gap, ARDL model, Dumping policy,

Received:12/30/2022 12:00:00 AM; Accepted: 2/7/2023 12:00:00 AM